Senior US officials have reportedly pressed Qatar to expel Hamas representatives after accusing the Palestinian group of rejecting the recent ceasefire and hostage negotiation for Gaza. More than a week ago, the Qatari government agreed to notify Hamas to close its political office in Doha. Hamas has allegedly been operating a base in Doha since 2012 at the Obama administration’s request. Hamas has denied these disputes. Although Qatar, a crucial US ally in the area, has not spoken out yet. Qatar is currently involved in diplomatic talks with the Taliban, Iran and Russia. It has participated in multiple rounds of negotiations with Egypt and the US to mediate a ceasefire for the war in Gaza.
Hmas rejected the previous proposed short-term ceasefire and demanded Israel’s full withdrawal, meaning the most recent mid-October discussions ended in failure. Israel has also faced accusations of dismissing potential agreements. Recently dismissed Former Defence Minister Yoav Gallant accused Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of rejecting peace initiatives despite security officials’ recommendations.
Dr H A Hellyer, a senior associate fellow at the Royal United Services Institute, considers the reports credible, suggesting Hamas might soon need to relocate. If forced to leave Doha, potential relocation sites include Iran or Turkey. Iran’s option appears risky after the assassination of former leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran in July. Conversely, Turkey, as a NATO member, offers a safer environment. President Erdogan had previously met with Hamas leadership to discuss regional peace efforts.
With Hamas facing many threats, including the recent killing of leaders like Yahya Sinwar, concerns over leadership safety have grown. Experts believe no location will offer the same level of protection as Doha, given its proximity to US military assets.
The Biden administration’s mounting frustration with Israel’s handling of the Gaza conflict has added to tensions. US officials have warned Israel of policy consequences if humanitarian aid to Gaza is not improved within a month. UN agencies have described conditions in northern Gaza as “apocalyptic,” signaling a worsening crisis. If Qatar is to expel Hamas from Doha, this might further deteriorate the already delicate situation.
